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Smart Money ranks markets by the gap between where a cohort of top wallets is positioned and the live market price. It surfaces the markets where the sharpest traders most disagree with the crowd, so you can see conviction before it shows up in the odds.

How Smart Money works

What counts as smart money, how wallets turn into odds and Edge, and when smart money gets it wrong, with a worked example.

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The global view

The main table lists every market the selected cohort holds, ranked by edge. Each row shows the cohort’s implied outcome and price next to the live market price (for example, Yes 2.8¢ vs smart money 100¢). Use the cohort selector (for example, Top 1,000) to change which wallet set defines “smart money”. Any cohort can be used here, including your own.

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The market view

Open a market to see how the cohort is split across outcomes. A Yes/No bar compares Smart Money Odds (the cohort’s value-weighted probability) against Market Odds (the live price), and each side lists the individual wallets with their average entry price, amount At Risk, and open Profit.
Smart Money market view with a Yes/No split bar and per-wallet at-risk and profit columns for each side

The market view for a Top 1,000 cohort: smart-money odds against the live price, with the wallets on each side.

Multi-outcome (neg-risk) events are handled separately, canonicalizing each wallet’s true bet across the event’s outcomes so the Yes and No sides stay comparable.

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API endpoints

Global Smart Money

POST /api/v1/smart-money/global: markets ranked by edge across the selected wallets.

Smart Money Summary

POST /api/v1/smart-money/summary: the Yes/No summary of an event, one row per open market, for binary and multi-outcome events alike.

Smart Money Holders

POST /api/v1/smart-money/holders: the wallets holding one side of one market within an event.